• 📰Axios reports the U.S. has been secretly moving oil in and out of the Strait of Hormuz, writing:

  • “Under the operation, which has been underway for the last several weeks, 15–20 tankers have entered and exited the strait each night through a southern channel along the coast of Oman. About 10 million barrels of oil a day — roughly half the pre-war volume — are being transported out of the strait and injected into the global energy market….”

  • Reality: This is an embarrassment to Iran — and there’s not much they can do about it.

• 🚨Trump has shifted from military action to economic pressure on Iran — now threatening “economic warfare”

  • Trump: “No one has given the Islamic Republic of Iran a greater opportunity to make a Deal than me. TRAGICALLY, for them, they have failed to take it. Therefore, today, I am announcing the MOST CRUSHING ECONOMIC OPERATION EVER TAKEN AGAINST ANY COUNTRY! This will be Economic Warfare and Isolation on an unprecedented scale.”

• Tonight📺: Vice Admiral Robert Harwood and former CIA official Philip Mudd on the James Bond-like operation to strangle Iran.

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Getting Flocked📸: Every day, we learn more and more about how terrible Flock cameras are — and how the company continues to lie and spin things in ways that are telling.

• Zoom out👀: Can we stop “1984”?

  • The Atlanta Journal-Constitution headlines, “Flock camera resistance is just the beginning. Let’s avoid a ‘1984’ scenario.”

• First principles: The declaration says the government derives its power from the consent of the governed — an increasing number of us are not consenting because of the broken trust.

• Flipside 🔁: These cameras do help solve a lot of crimes

  • Today, the FBI used these types of surveillance cameras to catch a woman who allegedly was plotting an ISIS-inspired attack on the New York State Capitol.

• This is now the battle we will be wrestling with as time goes on and as technology is only going to get better and more invasive

  • Look back🔙: America has held onto a deeply rooted distrust of government and its power for 250 years.

  • And nothing gives the government more power than surveillance cameras and AI

• Tonight📺: Joe Lancaster, who reported on a woman who spent months in “legal hell after cops used Flock surveillance to identify the wrong car,” joins me.

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Dueling Fights‼️

🎤In three weeks, President Trump must give the toughest speech of his life — at the Republican midterm convention.

• Mission❗: He must convince the MAGA faithful that he is on the ballot while not turning off disaffected Republicans who want nothing to do with him

• That’s hard for anyone — harder still for a president with a massive ego whose approval rating is 33%

  • Yikes😬: New polling shows Tom Cotton in Arkansas faces a competitive Senate race

    • Sen Tom Cotton (R): 44%

    • Hallie Shoffner (D): 47.4%

      • As a guy who covered Arkansas politics — this absolutely STUNS me.

• High stakes‼️: In addition to Trump’s legacy, a Democratic House and Senate would consume the last two years of his administration with investigations, impeachments, subpoenas and zero confirmations of his appointees.

• Choice👀: Trump and Republican candidates must decide the risk and reward of having Trump come stump for them —

  • Can Mike Collins win Georgia without Trump putting his arm around him and saying “send Collins to the Senate and protect me from impeachment”?

  • Can Mike Collins win Georgia with an attack ad showing Trump’s arm around him?

Watch tonight📺: Erick Erickson on Trump’s impossible mission.

“Questions Grow About Trump’s Closeness to Aide” 📺

🤦Nobody really cares what presidential-wannabe Jon Ossoff said or insinuated about Trump’s 35-year-old executive assistant, Natalie Harp, but the new obsession with her shows the complete hollowness of American politics.

• ❗The Right is outraged about it — spare me, Trump has said far worse about women.

• ❗But the Left is now obsessed with Natalie — especially the women of journalism.

  • “Questions grow about Trump’s closeness to aide,” read a banner on MS NOW – really, what questions other than the unveiled insinuation she is Trump’s mistress?

  • For days now, they have examined everything about the 35-year-old bone cancer survivor.

  • The insinuation, questions and raised eyebrows all show the same thing — complete contempt.

  • 🤦The same people a few weeks ago had new questions about Trump’s health — does he wear a diaper, what are the bruises on his hands, why does he keep falling asleep?

    • Is he also sleeping with his 35-year-old assistant … which is it?

Journalists (like me) make lousy media critics, but now, the coverage of Trump is the story.

Watch tonight📺: Former Trump White House senior adviser May Mailman and former Democratic adviser Dan Turrentine.

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We can do better‼️: Last night showed how truly awful our politics is — most members of Congress are essentially empty vessels for a solid blue or red vote.

• Darline Graham seems like a perfectly nice lady — she clearly has ZERO business being a U.S. senator.

  • She admitted having no idea about national security — props for honesty

• Angie Nixon seems like a dreadful and miserable human being, also with zero business being a U.S. senator

• Tonight📺: Former Pennsylvania Congressman Charlie Dent

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Summer of Revolt😡

✏️“Fifty-three percent of self-identified conservatives under 40 support government-run grocery stores. Not Democrats, conservatives. Take that in,” writes a Wall Street Journal piece

• 📰You really should read the piece — it is written by 23-year-old Emil Barr

  • Barr: “The Young MAGA Socialists Are Here”

• It lays out how young Americans feel the system is rigged — or do they just not understand how hard life is?

• The contradictions‼️: People hate data centers that are government-approved — Axios reports Republicans say data centers are so unpopular they might lose an Ohio Senate seat over it.

• And YouTube is filled with videos of people shooting Flock cameras, which the government puts up to keep us “safe”

  • The government promises it won’t abuse the technology, despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary.

• The contradictions in America’s political system require us to step way back.

  • America is in revolt

  • Revolt against the elites, government, big business and each other

Too easy🤷: We could say this is the socialist summer — a socialist just won in Florida’s Senate primary — but that simplifies a bigger problem

• MAGA is revolting too against Trump and the new Republican establishment —

  • Proof☑️: Tucker Carlson just compared Trump’s presidency to that of Kamala Harris

• Two of Trump’s endorsees for Florida congressional seats lost

• At every turn, Americans feel something is fundamentally unfair or wrong.

  • The government (any government) will never voluntarily give up power — the power must be taken back.

• That is the struggle we are seeing — who has the power?! Who can be trusted with power? Who has abused our trust? Who can solve our problems?

  • Us, the citizens — a traditionally conservative view

  • The government — the traditionally socialist view

  • The elites of business and technology

More contradictions‼️: It is easier than ever to do exceptionally well in America and harder and harder to live a middle-class life.

Watch tonight📺: NewsNation’s Batya Ungar-Sargon and Chris Cillizza

• Plus, Emil Barr, Steve Cortes and Corbin Trent

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Rock Bottom and Digging🪏

📺Senator Jon Ossoff is getting exactly what he wanted — attention…lots of it.

• His not-so-veiled insinuation that Trump is having an affair with his executive assistant is bouncing around American politics like a pinball

  • Axios headlines “Ossoff tests Democrats’ appetite for going low”

  • There is the reaction from the White House, then the reaction to the reaction, plus the new media obsession with Natalie Harp

  • It all misses the much bigger point

  • You can’t out-Trump Trump.

  • Every Democrat who’s tried to win by going low, ends up face-planting….

    • Even Alexander Vindman, a hero of the resistance in Impeachment 1, lost last night in Florida to a no-name socialist

  What we want‼️: The political middle of America desperately wants a Reagan, Obama or Kennedy figure who appeals to the best of America, not the worst.

  Tonight📺: Democratic strategist Madeline Summerville joins me on whether any Democrat will appeal to our higher calling.

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• Hot take🔥: We shouldn’t be mad at Flock

  • We should be mad at the police officers abusing them — and the commissioners and mayors for signing these contracts with no guardrails

    • A South Carolina officer used the cameras over 160 times to stalk an ex

    • Three former Georgia officers were arrested after using the cameras to stalk people

    • An officer in Massachusetts is accused of using the cameras over 200 times to track an ex.

    • Numerous people have been FALSELY accused of serious crimes because “Flock” said they did it

      • “She Spent 7 Months in Legal Hell After Cops Used Flock Surveillance To Identify the Wrong Car”

• Valid✅: People are angry for real and legitimate reasons

  • Police were given this mass surveillance program — and again, we were wrong to trust them with it.

  • The cops are proven completely untrustworthy, and the county commissions and city councils that approved the contracts need to do some soul searching.

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2028 watch👀: Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff is getting exactly what he wanted… going viral.

• 📰Politico headlines today, “Ossoff just went viral again. That was probably the point,” writing:

  • “Ossoff’s campaign appearances are marked by pithy stump lines that are prone to catch fire online and aggressive jabs at Trump and his Republican opponent that appeal to Democrats’ desire for fighter candidates. But behind his bold persona on the trail is a senator who is hands-on in all aspects of his campaign, including messaging.”

• He is doing exactly want Democrats want — making fun of Donald Trump

  • Reality🤷: This doesn’t solve anybody’s problems

• Ossoff told MS NOW’s Jen Psaki:

  • “I have zero interest in running for president in 2028, and frankly zero interest in the 2028 fantasy football right now.”

    • Zero interest is coincidentally the amount of interest every candidate claims right before announcing a run

    • 💻Ossoff2028.com has been registered since January 2026.

    • 💻jonforamerica.com is “launching soon”

• Tonight📺: The 2Way trio Mark Halperin, Larry O’Connor and Kevin Walling on Ossoff’s rise as a showman

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Constitutional crisis⚠️: You read War Notes because we don’t just tell you what’s currently happening — but we warn you what is going to come next.

• We told you Minnesota prosecutors would try to extradite ICE officers to face state charges when the feds didn’t charge them with a federal crime. Now, it’s happening.

  • Minnesota’s Attorney General Keith Ellison is suing Greg Abbott to force the extradition of an ICE officer to face state charges.

• Look forward▶️: Republicans are going to rue the day they continue to use the Department of Justice to go after people

  • Just like the Democrats weaponized the DOJ against Trump.

• Now the new law in Washington is: do unto others as has been done unto you

  • And that’s what is going to happen

  • We are going to start having Republican local prosecutors go after Democrats

• ‼️This doesn’t end well — and it can’t.

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Things Aren’t Going Well‼️

📈Think prices are high now? — The cost of a home loan, credit card loan, car loan are all going up.

• Time bomb💣: The treasury rate is now the highest since 2007 — YIKES

  • As Ernest Hemingway said, you go broke “gradually, then suddenly.”

  • The higher the treasury yield, the more it costs the government to borrow — and the more it borrows, the more those costs add up

    • The same applies to American households that have near-record credit card debt.

  • More dangerous⚠️: JD Vance questioning whether the dollar should stay as the world’s reserve currency — GEE, Mr. Vice President, what’s going to happen to interest rates if we are no longer the reserve currency?!!

• The coming pain will only increase pressure on Trump with Iran

  • What’s happening‼️: The Iranians no longer fear Trump — we are in Round 15 of they want to make a deal and if they don’t I am going to bomb the (bleep) out of them

  • Currently, there are no talks happening — wait, I thought they wanted to make a deal?

    • Attacks: Ships in the Strait of Hormuz keep getting shot at — by whom do you ask? Iran obviously, but both the Iranians and Americans have a vested interest in denying the reality.

Look back🔙: In April of last year, Bill O’Reilly warned Trump he had one year to fix the economy or Republicans were toast in the midterms — then he called Iran the biggest gamble of Trump’s life.

Watch tonight📺: Bill and other Republican commentators have shifted their attention from Trump to Democrats — Will Democrats’ newfound obsession with socialism save Trump?

Now THEY Are The Establishment‼️

🗳️Tonight, Byron Donalds will almost certainly win the Republican Florida governor’s primary — fun fact, if elected he will be the first Black governor in Florida. The Marxists should love that, but they won’t.

• Electing Blacks is only important to Democrats if said Black person is a Democrat

Be smart🧠: Donalds and MAGA were once the outsiders — now they are the establishment in Florida

• Racist and Jew hating James Fishback captured the hearts and minds of young Republicans — more about him in this New York Times article

  • “He’s Openly Antisemitic. Young Male Conservatives in Florida Love Him.”

• Fishback will likely get low double digits in the primary — could spell trouble for Donalds.

  • “Florida Pollster: If Fishback Gets 15-20%, Donalds Is In Trouble For General Election”

Then this🤦: Republicans allowed disgraced Congressman Cory Mills to stay in the race — if Mills wins the primary against Ryan Elijah, it will be another Republican unforced error and drag on the ticket.

Watch tonight📺: Byron Donalds joins us after the polls close with how he can unite the Republican Party.

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Plus two stories we predicted would soon consume America!

If you dont subscribe — what are you waiting for you?? You will sound smarter when talking to friends!

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• 📺He joins us tonight — we’ve had on Dan Osborne from Nebraska and Todd Achilles from Idaho

  • His website says he’s running on the “cowboy code of the West” — what does that mean?

• You🫵: Our segment with Achilles of Idaho was one of our highest-rated in recent memory — all of us in the middle are hungry for real leadership.

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Bioweapons war☣️: This AI-generated movie about an A.I -created pathogen sounds like the Year 3,000 — but it’s closer than we may think.

• 📰The Washington Post reports, “Trump races to prepare for new strains of deadly viruses after cutting biosecurity experts,” writing:

  • “The administration’s biodefense team has dwindled, and its new safeguards have been delayed — all amid growing concern over AI-enabled pathogens.”

• ‼️Once again, the AI bros CAN stop this from happening… but won’t

  • They are releasing AI models that cause mass destruction — financially or with bioweaponry or by crashing airliners

  • Yet have shown no willingness to put restrictions on their weapons

  • Scary⚠️: CNN headlines, “Scientist says AI chatbot told him how to make biological weapons”

• Tonight📺: Annie Jacobson, author of this insane book “Biological War,” joins me on this threat of AI-powered bioweapons.

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Gov’t Will Fix EVERYTHING‼️

🤦The Left and Right increasingly agree the government will solve all our problems:

• Since apparently Vice President JD Vance doesn’t understand basic economics, he questions whether it’s a good thing the dollar is the world’s reserve currency and further questions if low prices are a good thing

  • Yes – dollar domination allows us to live beyond our means. How about some fiscal responsibility before we commit national economic suicide?

• Tucker Carlson says he doesn’t know what the solution is, but it starts with “changing people’s hearts” — again, no idea what that means

• Rep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., wants the government to loan startup founders money to pay his wealth tax and then confiscate stock if the loan isn’t paid — if the startup fails, the founder becomes an indentured servant to the government.

  • Then there’s some weird stuff about race

• Sen Raphael Warnock, D-Ga., says America is crooked, and poor people are poor because somebody took what belonged to them

• What I am thinking: I know he is the senator from Georgia, but maybe he should fold Havana into his district?

‼️The extremes of both parties seem to agree that the government will solve our problems

• Medicare for All to solve health care

• Tariffs and equity stakes in AI to solve I don’t know what

• End the dollar as a reserve currency because that helps how

• Power bills are too high, so let’s ban data centers

Every politician is now becoming Trump — promising quick and easy fixes to difficult problems.

• 🤦Have we not learned our lesson?

Possible solution👀: A third party in the center that is actually interested in solving our problems.

• Mark Cuban challenging Ro Khanna on X is a start …

• We asked War Notes subscribers for a list of possible folks

  • Most are politicians, but what about Peyton Manning?

  • A Youngkin/Fetterman ticket

  • A McCormick/Fetterman ticket — the Pennsylvania duo

  • Movie star Matthew McConaughey

  • The Rock

  • Taylor Swift

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‼️Increasingly, each political party is less and less interested in solving our problems — rather, they promise rainbow and unicorn solutions and then spend more money.

Watch tonight📺: Who could be the man or woman — Mick Mulvaney and Mike Nellis tonight.

We Aren’t Ready⚠️

‼️Every day the world gets more and more dangerous, and every day we are more and more NOT ready for a major war.

• The U.S. pulled the last American aircraft carrier from the South China Sea

• The USS Abraham Lincoln in the Middle East is in bad shape and being replaced

  • We don’t have enough shipyards capable of maintaining and overhauling aircraft carriers.

• America’s key missile defense interceptors are dwindling

  • Sound the alarms🚨: The NORTHCOM deputy commander says America isn’t prepared to defend against a drone attack on U.S. soil

• And the Iranians want to do to us what Vietnam did to us —

  • The Wall Street Journal reports, “Iran’s secret plan to escalate the war”

Watch 👀: Ukraine is pushing closer to Moscow, and Putin is looking to retaliate —

• This weekend, Ukrainian drones blew up a Russian logistics warehouse

• And there’s new intelligence showing that President Putin is planning to launch an attack to test NATO.

  • Good read📰: “Putin can’t break down NATO’s door. He’s trying the window”

  • “Putin knows he is losing in Ukraine, facing a combination of Kyiv’s raw courage and determination; clever use of drone warfare; and vast quantities of U.S. and European weapons. From Moscow’s perspective, the key to getting back on the front foot is simple: cut off aid to the Ukrainians…Putin reckons that if he can peel off some number of the Euros — by intimidating them with a combination of nuclear threats and hybrid warfare attacks — he can split the alliance and succeed in his ambitions.”

Wasting the money💰: The Pentagon’s requested $1.5 trillion budget should require serious contemplation

• Max Boot in the Washington Post headlines, “I’m a hawk. I’m shocked by a $1.5 trillion defense budget,” writing:

  • “The request would top World War II spending while funding boondoggles and sweetheart deals.”

  • We are preparing for wars in the past rather than readying to fight wars in the future.

  • Max Boots’ op-ed is a devastating takedown of the Pentagon over multiple administrations

    • “No one denies the need to replenish missile stockpiles running low because of the Iran conflict, but the very fact that the United States has used up such a large part of its missile arsenal so quickly is a damning indictment of years of defense misappropriations that long predate President Donald Trump.”

• And this is the same Pentagon that still isn’t ready for a major war because they aren’t spending money on the right things

  • Proof☑️: The Washington Post reports, “Navy weighs major warship redesign to match Trump’s preferences,” writing:

  • “The president wants the new fleet of aircraft carriers to more closely resemble those from World War II. The change could cost billions.”

Watch tonight 📺: Brig. Gen. John Teichert on how our politicians keep failing our military.

Be Like Mississippi‼️

🏫Today marked the first day of school for kids in many states across America.

• That’s criminal — school should not start until after Labor Day, but that is a different issue.

• 📱What’s far darker is the teachers’ first day of school reporting on their students.

• 🤷We all know the reason for this — it’s obvious — teachers’ unions are more interested in indoctrination, woke and equity than teaching.

  • For example, in Chicago, where the city is run by a teacher union lobbyist, they spend nearly $30,000 a year per student — in dozens of schools, not a single kid can read, write or do math at grade level.

  • Predictably, the city’s mayor says racism is behind the failures, and they need more money.

    • It would be funny if not so serious

• 👀Compare all of this to Mississippi — yes, Mississippi, where they have gone from worst to first in education — specifically for 4th graders’ ability to read.

  • The state’s governor joined “On Balance” a few years ago to share his secret

    • “What we have proven in Mississippi is that if you set high expectations and then you give teachers and parents and students the resources they need to reach those improved expectations, Mississippians at least do what Mississippians do and. they rise up and they not only meet them they exceed them. and that’s what we’re seeing in our state.”

‼️Mississippi is no more a miracle than Chicago is an unsolvable problem — they are both predictable and predicted results of what we want America’s future to look like.

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Whats working — the Mississippi Miracle.

Pls make sure you leave your thoughts of possible 3rd party presidential candidates from the CENTER in the comments.

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• 👀Watch tonight for a special appearance by the young birthday boy!

• With that, we present an abbreviated version of War Notes.

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Please🙏: Frank Toole, whose house was completely submerged by the floods in Indiana this week, joins me tonight

• Make a difference‼️: Please check out Frank’s GoFundMe to help him rebuild and recover from this disaster.

• “Help Frank Rebuild After Losing Everything in Cambridge IN”

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FINALLY‼️: “Character still matters” writes our friend Erick Erickson as he examines the Senate map — he will join us tonight.

• Raw nerve:

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STOP Flock🛑: In life, you have to earn trust — and I hate to say it, but cops are proving in real time they can’t be trusted.

• Proof✅: At least 50 officers have been accused or charged with misusing Flock cameras to stalk ex-girlfriends, wives, etc.

  • A Florida officer used the camera system 717 times to track his estranged wife

  • C’mon🤦: They’re given this powerful tool, and nobody thought someone was going to misuse it?

• Now Flock Safety is terrified and changing its policies — cutting the amount of time it keeps license plate data from 30 days to seven.

  • Really🤦: Nobody thought to put these tighter restrictions in place— and now we are expected to trust that these safeguards are going to work

• And now we’re giving ICE “shock gloves” before body cameras?

  • Big picture👀: In D.C., they say it’s not the crime, it’s the cover-up — these days in politics, it’s not the event but the reaction

    • Politicians, sheriffs, and police chiefs are refusing to acknowledge our shared and lived experiences, whether it’s on the economy, police misconduct, etc.

• Watch tonight📺: Sheriff Mike Chitwood joins us, who’s had an officer in his county charged for misusing these cameras.

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MAGA apprentice👀: We are watching JD Vance’s coming-out party happen in real time.

• Mark Halperin headlines in the Daily Mail “How JD Vance snatched the MAGA crown from Marco Rubio…” writing:

  • “If Vance wants the presidential nomination, it is almost certainly his. President Donald Trump will unquestionably endorse him. And in that case, Rubio – aware of the long-odds of opposing Trump’s pick and temperamentally opposed to a political knife-fight with a respected friend – would not run.”

    • What I am thinking💭: In Trump world, things change quickly.

• Vance is starting to move away from Trump

• Example✅: He’s acknowledging the economic pain Americans are feeling — yet his boss doesn’t want to

• Reality🤷: Vance can do this because he can’t get fired.

• Watch tonight📺: Mark Halperin joins me

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Woke 1.0 ▶️ Woke 2.0

‼️Presidential front-runner AOC’s giggling attempt to dismiss woke 1.0 as “crazy” attempts to conceal a dangerous fact — woke 2.0 is just as bad, if not worse

• They both view America as inherently evil —

  • Watch Stacey Abrams and Kamala Harris

• They both continue to tear at our beliefs in basic truths

  • El-Sayed wants to include transgender surgeries for kids in Medicare for All

• They view the world as a Marxist struggle between the oppressed and oppressors

1️⃣WOKE 1:

• Abolish prisons

• Defund police

• End cash bail

• Cancel Thanksgiving

• Remove statues

2️⃣WOKE 2:

• Abolish ICE

• Defund Israel

• End billionaires

• Cancel data centers

• Remove gas stoves

Hot socialist summer replaces the 2020 summer of love.

• The Telegraph headlines “The Democrats are having a ‘sexy socialist summer.’”

Watch tonight📺: Democratic advisor Dan Turrentine and NewsNation’s Batya Ungar-Sargon joins me.

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Have a GREAT weekend with the people you love — pictures from Holt’s Christening will be in Things I Tell My Friends on Sunday.

• “What is REALLY Going On in Trump’s Washington?”

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Breaking🚨: Flooding and a rare, long-lasting windstorm — also known as a derecho — tore through the Midwest this week, hitting Indiana particularly hard.

• Indiana Governor Mike Braun declared a state of emergency as the state experienced a 1-in-1,000-year rainfall event

  • Rivers hit historic levels

  • Flooding reached the roofs of homes

  • Over 241,000 homes and businesses are without power

  • Wind gusts up to 100-plus mph

• Not over‼️: More storms are expected to hit the area through the weekend.

• Heartbreaking💔: Many of the towns destroyed have no way to come back, and most insurance policies don’t cover floods.

• Watch tonight📺: Executive Director of Indiana’s Department of Homeland Security Director Jonathan Whitham and Indiana Congressman Jefferson Shreve

  • Plus➕: NewsNation’s Marni Hughes on the ground

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Stop the clock🕜: Congress can’t agree on lots of things — tariffs, Social Security, Medicare, budgets — but it looks like they’ve finally found something: Daylight Saving Time.

• President Trump is pushing the Senate to pass a bill to make Daylight Saving Time permanent.

  • It’s been an ongoing debate for years — and it looks like the debate is finally going to be done.

  • Reality‼️: We know Daylight Saving Time is dumb because we know it’s just daylight shifting time

• What I’m thinking💭: America has bigger problems to deal with than this…maybe we should deal with those first

  • Flipside 🔄: “Daylight savings means more golf!” writes Amanda — does it?

    • We got some great comments on our First Dispatch video on this.

      • Dan Grosso: “We do not want Daylight Savings to continue. Yes, it is stupid!”

      • Moose: “Stop DST. Don’t care which way it goes… just stop the annual flip flops”

      • Carolyn Brown: “I don’t see a need to change it because people get tired of having to reset their clocks twice a year. It could be worse. I think we have much bigger problems to deal with than worrying about time change.”

  • ‼️Become a PAID War Notes subscriber here for our daily First Dispatch video — you will impress your friends with your newfound brilliance

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There’s hope! Is this time for a third party?👀

🙏Missed by all the talking heads that make money dividing us — there’s real hope from the past two primary elections.

• The normies came out from both sides, resulting in massive misses by the pollsters in Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota.

  • The “My Pillow Guy” was ahead by nearly double digits and lost in Minnesota’s Republican primaries

  • Francesca Hong lost in Wisconsin and Abdul El-Sayed squeaked out a win after pollsters had both up double digits days before the election.

  • How it works‼️: Pollsters come up with a turnout model — a prediction of what the electorate will look like and then go call voters until they get a sample that matches their model.

• Takeaway☑️: The middle is no longer apathetic — they will come out to defeat extreme candidates in primaries

• Missed lesson‼️: The extremes of both parties appear not to be listening.

• Opportunity👀: As we’ve been saying for a while — the lane for a common sense party continues to widen

Watch tonight📺: Charlie Dent, Lauren Wright and Chris Cillizza on how a modern-day Ross Perot could come on the scene.

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2024 Flashback🔦

⚠️Republicans are making the same mistake Kamala Harris made in 2024 over and over again as they take the midterms and your vote for granted.

• The GOP continues to pound the table and yell about socialism — all while picking bad candidates and refusing to moderate in any way, shape or form

  • Ken Paxton blowing up in Texas

  • Rep. Max Miller refusing to drop out

  • Giving ICE electric gloves

    • Look back🔙: In 2024, Kamala Harris refused to moderate, and we all know what happened.

    • They kept saying there was nothing to see here at the border and immigration — all while we were facing an immigration crisis.

    • Republicans keep saying there is nothing to see with the economy and ICE isn’t a problem.

Reality‼️: Continuing to scream about Democratic socialism won’t distract voters from their problems

• The Washington Post headlines “Sorry, conservatives. The ‘cancel Thanksgiving’ candidate lost,” writing:

  • “Voters care about grocery bills while politicians fight old cultural battles.”

    • 95% of Americans think the U.S. is in an affordability crisis

    • 51% of Americans say they’re having trouble affording groceries

• If Republicans want to win in November, they need to admit what is going on and come to the center

  • But they won’t and can’t because of Trump

Watch tonight📺: Former chief of staff to the vice president Marc Short, Semafor White House correspondent Shelby Talcott and former Senate communications adviser Matt Whitlock.

REFUNDS!! Just Not For You🤷

💰Remember the tariffs that made everything more expensive? Well, some people are getting that money back… just probably not you.

• Apple, Nike, FedEx, Amazon, etc. are making more than ever right now — all thanks to tariffs

  • The Wall Street Journal headlines, “Tariff Refunds Are Here — and Turbocharging Earnings,” writing:

    • “So far, over 40 S&P 500 companies have reported some $9.6 billion in refunds in the past quarter or so, including at least $2.1 billion in cash already received.”

• 💸All these companies are getting millions in tariff returns — and we haven’t gotten even a penny.

  • Apple: $2.2 billion

  • Nike: $986 million

  • FedEx: $800 million

  • Amazon: $640 million

  • General Motors: $500 million

    • Good read📰: Fortune headlines, “Amazon may owe you money: It just got $600 million in tariff refunds after a lawsuit accused it of favoring Trump.”

• Dig deep🪏: This is why socialism is on the rise in America — and people don’t mind when Democrats talk about taking over companies.

  • It’s a complete failure by our government.

Tonight📺: Economist Stephen Moore and former Biden Council of Economic Advisers economist Ryan Cummings.

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Have you gotten your tariff refunds…neither have I?

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